Salkku Coincident and Leading Indicators: Global stock market
Salkku Coincident Indicator
2025-07-06
-1.1
Salkku Leading Indicator
2025-07-20
0.17
AI model based on Salkku Leading Indicator components
2025-06-30
Returns are positive for the next 12 months with 87.1% probability. Model fitness (R^2) is 0.74 with standard deviation of 0.13.
Leading indicator subcomponent analysis
Liquidity subcomponent
Latest "Liquidity six months change" value 0.0 % in 2025-06 belongs to neutral category. This category has historically been associated with following performance after 12 months:
| Date | Category | Min return | Mean return | Max return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 00:00:00 | neutral | -28.8% | 6.7% | 36.6% |
Historical performance
Inflation subcomponent
Latest "CPI six month change" value -2.5 % in 2025-06 belongs to positive category. This category has historically been associated with following performance after 12 months:
| Date | Category | Min return | Mean return | Max return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 00:00:00 | positive | -14.4% | 17.7% | 56.9% |
Historical performance
