Salkku Coincident and Leading Indicators: Global stock market
Salkku Coincident Indicator
2025-06-01
-1.4
Salkku Leading Indicator
2025-06-22
0.00
AI model based on Salkku Leading Indicator components
2025-05-31
Returns are positive for the next 12 months with 71.8% probability. Model fitness (R^2) is 0.73 with standard deviation of 0.10.
Leading indicator subcomponent analysis
Liquidity subcomponent
Latest "Liquidity six months change" value 0.0 % in 2025-05 belongs to neutral category. This category has historically been associated with following performance after 12 months:
| Date | Category | Min return | Mean return | Max return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-31 00:00:00 | neutral | -28.8% | 6.6% | 36.6% |
Historical performance
Inflation subcomponent
Latest "CPI six month change" value -0.3 % in 2025-05 belongs to neutral category. This category has historically been associated with following performance after 12 months:
| Date | Category | Min return | Mean return | Max return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-31 00:00:00 | neutral | -14.2% | 8.3% | 54.9% |
Historical performance
