Salkku Coincident and Leading Indicators: US stock market
Salkku Coincident Indicator
2025-02-02
0.2
Salkku Leading Indicator
2025-03-02
0.00
AI model based on Salkku Leading Indicator components
2025-01-31
Returns are positive for the next 12 months with 80.8% probability. Model fitness (R^2) is 0.77 with standard deviation of 0.15.
Leading indicator subcomponent analysis
Liquidity subcomponent
Latest "Liquidity six months change" value -0.0 % in 2025-02 belongs to neutral category. This category has historically been associated with following performance after 12 months:
| Date | Category | Min return | Mean return | Max return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-28 00:00:00 | neutral | -44.8% | 8.0% | 40.8% |
Historical performance
Inflation subcomponent
Latest "CPI six month change" value 0.1 % in 2025-01 belongs to neutral category. This category has historically been associated with following performance after 12 months:
| Date | Category | Min return | Mean return | Max return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-31 00:00:00 | neutral | -39.7% | 10.5% | 53.7% |
Historical performance
