Salkku Coincident and Leading Indicators: US stock market
Salkku Coincident Indicator
2025-06-01
-3.5
Salkku Leading Indicator
2025-07-06
0.00
AI model based on Salkku Leading Indicator components
2025-05-31
Returns are positive for the next 12 months with 75.4% probability. Model fitness (R^2) is 0.74 with standard deviation of 0.19.
Leading indicator subcomponent analysis
Liquidity subcomponent
Latest "Liquidity six months change" value 0.0 % in 2025-06 belongs to neutral category. This category has historically been associated with following performance after 12 months:
| Date | Category | Min return | Mean return | Max return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 00:00:00 | neutral | -89.0% | 2.2% | 40.8% |
Historical performance
Inflation subcomponent
Latest "CPI six month change" value -0.4 % in 2025-05 belongs to neutral category. This category has historically been associated with following performance after 12 months:
| Date | Category | Min return | Mean return | Max return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-31 00:00:00 | neutral | -89.0% | 8.4% | 53.7% |
Historical performance
