Salkku Coincident and Leading Indicators: US stock market
Salkku Coincident Indicator
2025-04-06
-2.1
Salkku Leading Indicator
2025-04-20
0.00
AI model based on Salkku Leading Indicator components
2025-03-31
Returns are positive for the next 12 months with 81.0% probability. Model fitness (R^2) is 0.78 with standard deviation of 0.13.
Leading indicator subcomponent analysis
Liquidity subcomponent
Latest "Liquidity six months change" value 0.1 % in 2025-04 belongs to neutral category. This category has historically been associated with following performance after 12 months:
| Date | Category | Min return | Mean return | Max return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-30 00:00:00 | neutral | -44.8% | 7.9% | 40.8% |
Historical performance
Inflation subcomponent
Latest "CPI six month change" value -0.0 % in 2025-03 belongs to neutral category. This category has historically been associated with following performance after 12 months:
| Date | Category | Min return | Mean return | Max return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 00:00:00 | neutral | -39.7% | 10.5% | 53.7% |
Historical performance
